Theodore's World: U.S. Assures Israel That Iran Threat Is Not Imminent

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August 21, 2010

U.S. Assures Israel That Iran Threat Is Not Imminent

A satellite image taken last September shows construction in a mountain near Qum, Iran, and a major military base.

U.S. Assures Israel That Iran Threat Is Not Imminent

The Obama administration, citing evidence of continued troubles inside Iran’s nuclear program, has persuaded Israel that it would take roughly a year — and perhaps longer — for Iran to complete what one senior official called a “dash” for a nuclear weapon, according to American officials.

Administration officials said they believe the assessment has dimmed the prospect that Israel would pre-emptively strike against the country’s nuclear facilities within the next year, as Israeli officials have suggested in thinly veiled threats.

For years, Israeli and American officials have debated whether Iran is on an inexorable drive toward a nuclear bomb and, if so, how long it would take to produce one. A critical question has been the time it would take Tehran to convert existing stocks of low-enriched uranium into weapons-grade material, a process commonly known as “breakout.”

Israeli intelligence officials had argued that Iran could complete such a race for the bomb in months, while American intelligence agencies have come to believe in the past year that the timeline is longer.

“We think that they have roughly a year dash time,” said Gary Samore, President Obama’s top adviser on nuclear issues, referring to how long it would take the Iranians to convert nuclear material into a working weapon. “A year is a very long period of time.”

American officials said the United States believed international inspectors would detect an Iranian move toward breakout within weeks, leaving a considerable amount of time for the United States and Israel to consider military strikes.

The American assessments are based on intelligence collected over the past year, as well as reports from international inspectors. It is unclear whether the problems that Iran has had enriching uranium are the result of poor centrifuge design, difficulty obtaining components or accelerated Western efforts to sabotage the nuclear program.

American officials said new intelligence information was being fed into a long-delayed National Intelligence Estimate on Iran’s nuclear program.

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Wild Thing's comment.......

I say BS, if I was Israel I would not believe any of this bs from Obama and his administration. If Obama is breathing he is telling a lie. Obama has liled to every American, over and over and over. So heads up Israel, be wise. I’d trust Israel’s information more than ours.

Obama is doing everything he can to help with Israel’s destruction. If the world thinks it’ll be bad if Israel hits Iran, wait until Iran gets the nuke and gives it to every middle east country. If we don’t stop this or give our blessing to Israel to stop it, there’s going to be some bad stuff going down.

I think the Mossad is more on top of goings-on in the Iranian nuclear program than the CIA or any other intelligence service. After all, it is Israel who will face extinction first from an Iranian bomb. Therefore I am also certain Bibi and Company filed this information in the circular basket immediately. Just my gut feeling about it.

....Thank you Mark for sending this to me.

3rd Mar.Div. 1st Battalion 9th Marine Regiment
1/9 Marines aka The Walking Dead
VN 66-67

Posted by Wild Thing at August 21, 2010 08:46 AM


Is this American intelligence from the same people who were surprised that Pakistan had the bomb?

Posted by: TomR, armed in Texas at August 21, 2010 10:40 AM

What are they using for brains, Oatmeal ? The Russians have traded Nuclear secrets for oil how is that so hard to understand. Lets hope Netanyahu doesn't fall for this bozo's reasurance, because it is not worht spit.

Posted by: Mark at August 21, 2010 02:19 PM

Tom, I think so.

Mark, haha yes oatmeal. haha

Posted by: Wild Thing at August 22, 2010 05:21 AM